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Week 13: Hammer staff picks

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Rob Pizzola’s pick

  • 49ers/Eagles over 46.5 (-110)
    • Good to -118. There is some rain in the forecast but I don't care. Philadelphia's stop unit is one of the most overrated in the entire league and faces a very efficient and explosive 49ers offense, led by Brock Purdy who excels against Cover One. In games where Philly has to match points, they will play fast, get aggressive, and take shots down the field. The last time we saw the 49ers face a viable passing offense, they got shredded by Joe Burrow. 

Fabian Sommer’s picks

  • Jaguars -8 (-110)
    • This Bengals team is very bad on both sides of the ball. The downgrade from Burrow to Browning is massive and gives them a bottom tier offense to go along with a bottom tier defense. It's hard to imagine them being able to limit the Jaguars offense, and they simply do not have the firepower to keep up. 

Hitman’s pick

  • Browns +3.5 (-110)
    • Stafford struggles against man coverage and the Rams offense has poor splits against teams with an efficient pass rush like the Browns, which will make it tough for Los Angeles to get margin in this game. 

ClevTA’s pick

  • 49ers Team Total over 24.5 (-112)
    • The Eagles defense was on for 93 plays last week. Historically, defenses on the field for 70+ snaps and at a rest disadvantage the next week (49ers played Thursday) have allowed opponents to go over their team total in 59% of games since 2000. If you ramp that up to 80+ snaps it is a smaller sample, but 88% have gone over. The Philly secondary is bad, especially over the middle, which is where the 49ers work the most. San Fran has also scored 27+ in every game with a healthy Deebo Samuel and Trent Williams.

CFB bets from Brad Powers

  • Oklahoma State/Texas over 54.5 (-110)
    • Texas needs to win by margin to help their playoff chances and Oklahoma State plays with plenty of tempo, both of which are conducive to points in this game.


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