For each week's Draftkings slate, I will give a chalk and tournament play. I will also provide a player that I am fading as well. Before I go into this week's picks, I will give a little definition of chalk and tournament play.
A chalk pick is a player that will be highly owned across most all contests. Typically, this might be because of a low price, a great situation, or a combination of both. These plays are best for cash games (50/50s and head to heads) but can also be used for tournaments.
A tournament or GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool) are contests that have payouts weighted heavily towards the top. The most famous one is the weekly Millionaire contest that DraftKings has on most NFL slates. Hopefully, we can find a player at smaller ownership, thus increasing the likelihood of a unique lineup and, if the player hits, the potential for a huge payout.
This week on Edge Rush, Eric Pauly and Hitman break down every single game of the Week 11 slate and give their opinions on sides, totals, and spreads they feel strongly about.
Last Week's Plays
Chalk- Alvin Kamara- Alvin Kamara was pretty chalky in double-ups at almost 40%; however, that did not help him or the Saints. Getting 7.5 is not going to cut it in any contest.
Tournament Play- Najee Harris - Najee Harris did alright. He got 99 rushing yards and was 1 yard away from getting the 100-yard bonus. He was very low owned at less than 7% in GPPs, and if he just got a 1-yard touchdown, he could have had a much larger day.
Fade- Cooper Kupp- Injury side Cooper Kupp was not doing so hot. However, I won’t take full credit for this, as it is always tough to see a great player like that go down for an extended time.
Week 11 Selections
Ceedee Lamb- Ceedee Lamb destroyed the Packers last week, putting up a 40-plus burger on them. This week the Cowboys play a horrendous Vikings secondary. It might be possible for Lamb to have a similar game, and it appears that it is not a secret to anyone as he is projected to be one of the highest-owned players on the slate at 25%. At $7,500, he's not a bargain but nor is that expensive either. Lamb is someone you want to play this week.
Rhamondre Stevenson- Rhamondre Stevenson might be chalky (projected at 17%), but that's not enough, given his match-up and usage. Four out of his last five games, Stevenson has gotten over 20 points. Damien Harris was taken off the injury report, and hopefully, that should drive down Stevenson's ownership. The Jets D has been excellent. I would expect a very run-heavy game plan from the Patriots, just like in Week 8. Stevenson had a total of 23 touches in that game. This week, $6,700 is a reasonable price for Stevenson, and he should be in line for a great game.
Devin Singletary - Don't be fooled by last week's game from Devin Singletary. Those two rushing TDs are Singletary's first of the season. Josh Allen is the Bill's goal line RB, and there are plenty of other RBs that Singletary has to compete with. Singletary has low receiving volume, and his carries are not that great either. His highest is 17, and that was in Week 6. Most weeks are low teens, if not single digits. I see him as a cash game play at $5,800, but he lacks the upside for any GPP-winning team.