Biggest Line Movement
In normal weeks we'll be able to pinpoint the movement from the start of the week to the end of the week. Given these markets have been up for months we'll just get into some of the bigger line moves in general
Pittsburgh -3.5 to -6.5 (Tua Tagovailoa injury)
Washington/Philadelphia Total 47.5 to 44 (Laremy Tunsil injury at first, and then general money over the weeks)
Philadelphia -4 to -6
Dallas -2.5 to -3 (Malik Nabers uncertainty)
Las Vegas -3.5 to -3 (Brock Bowers injury)
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NFL Best Bets from Forward Progress this week
Rob Pizzola:
-Buf/Hou u45.5 -113
-Min ML -120
-Dal -2.5 -115
G-Stack:
-Phi -5.5 -110
-Jax -8.5 -108
-Ten -1.5 -110
Austin Mock:
-Phi -5.5 -110
-Jax -8.5 -108
-Dal -2.5 -115
Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/FwdProgressHQ
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NFL Player Prop from the Hitman
Lamar Jackson 40+ rush yards -122
Think last years decline in rushing was health based and good chance to buy low on a player who would often be lined in the 50’s
Follow him on Twitter/X: https://x.com/Hitman428
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Sunday Prop Looks from Clev TA
Harold Fannin 1st TD 18-1, over 36.5 rec yards (-113), 60+ receiving yards (+300)
I think with Lawrence and starters sitting out preseason they have a better chance of being rusty early, leaving the door open for the Browns to score first. Matchup wise, the Jags lost Devin Lloyd who graded out as one of the better coverage LBs last year, and his replacement will be third-year man, Ventrell Miller. He was one of the worst coverage LBs in the NFL last season (58.4 PFF coverage) and should allow more opportunities for Fannin over the middle of the field and in the red zone. The Browns have zero depth at TE after multiple camp injuries and Njoku leaving, so Fannin should soak up a large chunk of TE snaps today.
Follow him on Twitter/X: https://x.com/Clevta
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All Bets in today's newsletter were based on FanDuel odds. Play at https://sportsbook.fanduel.com/forwardprogress
