Biggest Line Movement for Week 7 Sunday Games
-Pit -2.5 to -3
-Pit/NO 44 to 43
-Min -5.5 to -6.5 -115
-Ind/Min 42.5 to 41.5
-NYJ -5.5 to -3.5 -115
-Bal -3 to Cin -3
-Cin/Bal 51 to 46
-Car -3.5 to -2.5 -125
-SF -3.5 to -2.5
-Hou -9.5 to -10.5
-LAR -5.5 to -3 -120
-Det -3 to -3.5
-GB/Det 52.5 to 55
-Dal/Phi 45 to 44
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NFL Best Bets from Forward Progress this week
Rob Pizzola:
TB/Car u44.5 -110
Ten/Cle u38.5 -118
Hou -9.5 -112
Sea -2.5 -115
G-Stack:
Mia/NYJ o39.5 -106
Det -3 -118
Phi +4.5 -120
Austin Mock:
TB/Car u44.5 -110
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All Bets in today's newsletter are based on FanDuel odds. Play there now
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NFL Player Prop from the Hitman
Dohnte Meyers under 1.5 receptions +128
Lean that Colbie Young runs more routes for Bengals, plus more 12 personnel from Cincinnati.
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Sunday Prop Looks from Clev TA
Rico Dowdle over 29.5 rush yards (-113 FD)
Dowdle ran hard and well last week vs. a good Tampa Bay run defense that ranks 2nd in ypc allowed (7-40 yards). The Bucs are a pass funnel with the 5th highest neutral game pass rate against them. Now Dowdle and the Steelers face the 5th worst ypc run defense and 8th worst rush yards over expected in the Saints and teams throw on them at a bottom 12 rate so a much more likely run heavy game script and a worse defense. He received 7 of 21 total RB carries in a script where the Steelers threw it on 69% of plays. In a more normalized script (ie ~60% pass rate) and even the same run share as last week Id expect something like more attempts and good efficiency.
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All Bets in today's newsletter are based on FanDuel odds. Play there now