Teams playing on Thursday after a Sunday overtime game are 7-29 against the spread since 2000. I’m not a trends guy, so here’s exactly how I work through a stat like this, step by step: checking how it’s counted, finding the right comparison, looking past the win-loss record, testing the explanation, and asking whether the market’s already on it. This one held up better than most. Here’s why you still shouldn’t bet it blindly, and I want your theory on why it happens.
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SHOW INDEX
0:00 - The Trend
1:10 - Why Most Trends Are Noise
2:06 - Is There A Real Reason?
3:08 - Rebuild It Yourself
4:47 - Find The Right Comparison
7:09 - Look Past The Win/Loss Record
10:26 - Test The Explanation
12:54 - How Many Other Trends Are There?
14:40 - Is The Market Already On It?
17:09 - Sponsored by ProphetX
18:35 - What I Think About This One
19:26 - What To Do Next Time
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#NFL #ThursdayNightFootball #SportsBetting #BettingTrends #AgainstTheSpread
