Quarterbacks
Jalen Hurts $7,600 - The Eagles are implied for the 5th most points on the Slate and Hurts may account for nearly all of them. Averaging 14 rushing attempts in his last two games, Hurts is one of the few quarterbacks capable of hitting the yardage bonus on the ground and in the air.The Commanders have given up 22 and 36 points to the Jaguars and Lions respectively. This Eagles offense is far superior to either of those teams and I expect them to have no trouble scoring on Sunday.
Kirk Cousins $6,700 - The Bills, Chiefs, Eagles, and Chargers are all on the main slate yet none of them have the highest team total on the board. Instead that belongs to the Vikings who despite laying an egg on Monday night, are in a prime position to bounce back on Sunday. The Lions are 23rd in yards allowed per pass attempt, and the Cousins should play much better with the Vikings crowd at his back.
Matthew Stafford $6,500 - The Cardinals blitz at a rate of 33.6% per dropback which ranks 4th in the NFL. Stafford is one of the best quarterbacks in the league against the blitz. If the Cardinals maintain their strategy, Stafford should have no problem finding Cooper Kupp in the slot. The Rams are projected at 26 points on Sunday which ranks 7th on the entire slate. I like Stafford as a low-owned option in a high total game.
Running Backs
Dalvin Cook $7,900 - The Vikings are nearly touchdown favorites at home coming off an embarrassing defeat. The Lions are 27th in yards allowed per rush attempt and Cook is positioned well for a bounce back game. If we expect the Vikings to establish a lead, Cook could easily see 20+ carries on Sunday. If the Vikings fall behind, Cook is averaging 5.5 targets per game which should keep him on the field.
Leonard Fournette $6,500 -Fournette is averaging 22.5 carries and three targets per game thus far to start the season. Now with Mike Evans suspended for this game, we can expect Fournette to see a slight bump in target share. With Godwin, Julio, Gage, and Perriman all out or injured, the Bucs may have no other option than to feed Fournette. At $6,500 his price is cheap relative to his expected volume.
Miles Sanders $5,500 - The Commanders are dead last in yards allowed per rush attempt. The Eagles are nearly seven point favorites against the Commanders. If we expect a bump in carries for this game, then Sanders should have no problem paying off this price tag. With so many question marks surrounding the high priced running back options, Sanders provides a cheap alternative I feel comfortable with.
Wide Receivers
Stefon Diggs $7,700 - The Dolphins rank dead last in yards allowed per pass attempt. We saw what Lamar was able to do against this defense just a week ago. The Bills are implied for the 2nd most points on the slate, and the game total is tied for the most. With how hot and humid this game is expected to be, I suspect the Bills defense may not have as much success as usual. That could provide more passing attempts if the game stays close.
Amon-Ra St. Brown $7,200 - The Lions are 6-point underdogs in a dome with the highest projected game total. It appears ASB has locked in his 30%+ target share even with TJ Hockenson and D'Andre Swift back in action. If the Lions get down, which the spread implies , then ASB is positioned for another huge volume game. The Vikings rank 30th in yards allowed per pass attempt; when you combine high volume, with a good matchup in a high total game you tend to get success.
Chris Olave $4,500 - Olave had over 300 air yards last week. If we expect just one of those deep shots to connect, then Olave may pay off his price tag on just one play. If two or more of those deep shots connect, he may be the cheap receiver you need to win tournaments.
Tight Ends
Travis Kelce $7,900 - The Chiefs are coming off an extended week after their Thursday night game in week 2. In front of them is an unimposing matchup against the Colts. The Chiefs have the 3rd highest team total on the slate, and Kelce should be the primary target for Mahomes once again. OJ Howard was able to score twice against this defense, and Evan Engram led the Jaguars in targets last week. With more time to prepare a game plan, Andy Reid should have no problem scheming multiple plays for Kelce.
Kyle Pitts $4,800 - The squeaky wheel narrative is alive and well for Pitts this week after another dud performance. Through two weeks the Falcons offense has faced somewhat difficult opponents on defense. Now the Falcons get the Seahawks who rank 28th in yards allowed per pass attempt. I suspect Arthur Smith may scheme multiple plays for Pitts, especially in the red zone. This price tag may be the cheapest we see Pitts at all season.
Irv Smith Jr. $3,100 - Smith Jr. finally looks healthy after an impressive performance on Monday night. His box score would've looked even better if he had caught a walk-in 60-yard touchdown. What's more interesting is that the Vikings are letting him run routes deep down the field. That is not typical of a tight end priced at just $3,100. He also plays in a dome in the highest total game on the slate.
Defenses
New Orleans Saints $3,500 - The Panthers rank 27th in QB sack rate on offense. That should provide a soft target for the Saints pass rushers to tee off on.
Philadelphia Eagles $2,900 - The Eagles are nearly touchdown favorites playing against Carson Wentz. If we expect the Eagles to get a lead, which the spread implies, they should have plenty of scoring opportunities on defense.